A new poll from Public Policy Polling shows disgraced Sen. David Vitter (R) remains unpopular but could win his reelection bid.

 

Just 38% of voters in the state say Vitter deserves to be reelected with 47% saying it’s time to give someone else a chance. That’s partly a reflection on Vitter, and partly indicative of the general anti-incumbent mood across the country right now.

 

Vitter will likely face Rep. Charlie Melancon (D) in the general election.  Melancon’s numbers, at first, look weak.

 

Vitter: 44%

Melancon: 32%

 

A generic Democrat actually polls better than Melancon.

 

Vitter: 44%

Generic Democrat: 38%

 

But Melancon has more strength than it appears.  Many voters, 42%, still don’t know enough about him to have an informed opinion.  Melancon, a conservative Blue Dog, will poll better once voters know more about him.  Additionally, when an incumbent sits below 50%, he isn’t safe.  Vitter remains unpopular even though it has now been two years since his prostitution scandal.  This race is a tossup.